Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.005628 0.006208 0.006807 0.007471 0.008186 0.008931 0.009764
2025-02-09 0.004671 0.005497 0.006393 0.007433 0.008604 0.009875 0.011357
2025-02-16 0.004202 0.005182 0.006282 0.007602 0.009133 0.010843 0.012890
2025-02-23 0.003705 0.004763 0.005988 0.007500 0.009299 0.011358 0.013877
2025-03-02 0.003364 0.004487 0.005823 0.007512 0.009567 0.011967 0.014958
2025-03-09 0.003196 0.004400 0.005867 0.007758 0.010104 0.012889 0.016411
2025-03-16 0.002980 0.004232 0.005792 0.007843 0.010432 0.013553 0.017559
2025-03-23 0.002826 0.004128 0.005784 0.008002 0.010845 0.014321 0.018837
2025-03-30 0.002704 0.004057 0.005809 0.008195 0.011298 0.015139 0.020185
2025-04-06 0.002460 0.003802 0.005579 0.008040 0.011295 0.015377 0.020807
2025-04-13 0.002301 0.003654 0.005479 0.008049 0.011494 0.015868 0.021747
2025-04-20 0.002114 0.003454 0.005297 0.007936 0.011524 0.016135 0.022400
2025-04-27 0.001966 0.003303 0.005179 0.007910 0.011675 0.016571 0.023289
2025-05-04 0.001823 0.003152 0.005054 0.007866 0.011798 0.016970 0.024139
2025-05-11 0.001759 0.003115 0.005087 0.008043 0.012222 0.017771 0.025524
2025-05-18 0.001620 0.002951 0.004927 0.007936 0.012247 0.018034 0.026198
2025-05-25 0.001524 0.002851 0.004854 0.007949 0.012435 0.018517 0.027169
2025-06-01 0.001499 0.002862 0.004948 0.008207 0.012973 0.019483 0.028802
2025-06-08 0.001433 0.002801 0.004929 0.008295 0.013269 0.020119 0.029995
2025-06-15 0.001391 0.002777 0.004964 0.008461 0.013678 0.020916 0.031417
2025-06-22 0.001359 0.002768 0.005021 0.008662 0.014140 0.021793 0.032959
2025-06-29 0.001249 0.002617 0.004846 0.008501 0.014066 0.021913 0.033454
2025-07-06 0.001182 0.002538 0.004783 0.008510 0.014239 0.022383 0.034439